Thursday, December 31, 2015

Aleksey Mozgovoy's Poem No. 42

Rise up! There is no place, no need, for the spirit to lay down

Can I rise to space meant for the wings,
Into the heaven clear of limits, fear and lies?
Of a pure atmosphere will I taste a sip
So that I can be a wave and become a breeze?

There I hope freedom glides and soars.
Once I learn how to open new wings,
With the help of headwind I will climb,
And its cheery spank will take off my grief.

There is no reason for regret in the sky
—no ties to the soulless, the low, the mean.
Fly in the clouds—happy, enamored, free
—beyond evils, above life-erasing ills.

Keep on ascending to those gleaming heights
Above the dust of harsh, downtrodden paths,
Above time’s misery, dreaded frights and alarms:
Rise up and cast off what weighed you down!

There I will forget everyday bustle and fuss
And will uncover starry beauty in the daylight sky,
All the above I will embrace, see and touch:
Farewell, bonds! My freedom, be welcome!

Эх, как бы подняться в пространство для птиц...

Эх, как бы подняться в пространство для птиц,
В небо, без страха и лжи, без границ.
Чистого воздуха сделать глоток,
Крылья расправил бы чтоб ветерок.

Может хоть там я, свободу найду,
Шире я крылья свои разведу.
Встречный поток меня выше подбросит,
Ветер шальной, грусть-печаль пусть уносит.

Незачем в небе грустить о былом,
О всём приземлённом и просто земном.
Пари в облаках, наслаждайся свободой,
И выше всегда будь над всякой невзгодой!

Над горечью пыльных, избитых дорог,
Над временем, полного бед и тревог.
Лети, поднимайся незыблемо ввысь,
От бремени тяжкого, в миг оторвись.

В полёте забуду я быт, суету,
Смогу разглядеть в небе звёзд красоту.
Крылами коснусь облаков невзначай,
Прощай притяжение. Свобода, встречай!

Putin orders a snapshot poll for Crimea asking whether it's OK to recognize them as Ukraine's in Moscow's new electricity agreement with Kiev

Putin just ordered a snapshot poll for Crimea and, in doing so, he ordered on behalf of his government and Russia to ask the Russian citizens of Crimea an illegal and unconstitutional question, asking them whether they would not mind if Moscow recognizes Crimea and Sevastopol as "integral parts of Ukraine" in the agreement on "resolving" the ongoing electricity blockade of Crimea imposed by Kiev via its "activists" and "volunteers."

"Русские, сдавайтесь!" это к вам говорить "ваш" пресидент. Пресидент Mole.

"Russians, surrender! this is your president talking to you! President Mole.

After all this is the message and point of Minsk 1 and Minsk 2 for Ukraine and Donbass whereby Putin recognized the Nazi regime as legitimate or actually as the sole legitimate representative of the Ukrainians and the Russians living there and whereby he committed himself and his government to restoring sovereignty of this Nazi, anti-Russian regime over the remaining part of Donbass--the "unrecognized" republics as the Kremlin insists on calling them.

RT reports:

"Vladimir Putin has ordered a public survey in Crimea to find out whether an electricity supply contract with Ukraine would be welcomed by residents. ...Russian Energy Minister Aleksandr Novak told journalists Thursday that President Putin has instructed a national opinion research center to learn whether Crimeans support the very idea of receiving electricity from Ukraine, the country Crimea voted to withdraw from in March 2014.
The president ordered to make an urgent social survey in Crimea and the city of Sevastopol ahead of signing a new electricity supply contract with Ukraine,” Novak told journalists.
The All-Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VTsIOM) has already conducted a phone survey. The results are expected to be presented on January 1.
The poll includes two questions. The first one inquires whether Crimeans would support signing a contract for electricity supply that mentions Crimea and Sevastopol as integral parts of Ukraine, something the Kiev authorities has been insisting upon.

The second question asks if Crimeans are ready to suffer a certain shortage of electricity for the following three to four months (in case they vote against signing a contract with Kiev). Ukraine used to provide around 70 percent of Crimea’s electricity.
..."Ukraine has for a long time disrespected the contract for power supplies to Crimea," Novak said. "We have seen electricity pylons blown up, some armed mavericks who allegedly did not allow repairs to them, and lots of other nonsense."
...Aksyonov called the disruption of the electricity supply to Crimea a terrorist act, adding that “Crimeans have had a good lesson” and Russia will deal with the situation.
Ukrainian electricity company Ukrenergo says it will fix the pylon by Thursday night. The cutoff coincided with the expiry of a power supply contract between the company and Crimea."
According to Russia's energy minister, "President [Putin] thinks it is right to conduct this survey before making the final decision about concluding or not concluding the contract [with Kiev]."

"По его словам, президент считает правильным провести опрос, прежде чем принимать окончательное решение по заключению или не заключению контракта."

After signing into law recognition of old debts of the Crimeans to the Ukrainian banks, which is to be now enforced and exacted via Russian collectors, Putin in his royal wisdom also ordered a quick "social poll" the first question of which asks the Crimeans whether they would support signing a contract between the Russian government and Kiev for electricity supply that, in this official, government agreement, recognizes Crimea and Sevastopol as integral parts of Ukraine.

The recent auctioning of the priceless collection of the Massandra wines in Crimea (and Putin's and Berlusconi's drinking of one of the five over 200-year-old brandy unique bottles from Massandra for $100,000 a bottle, but otherwise priceless) is then just a drop in the ocean in the utterly spineless, amoral, dishonorable, hypocritical position of Putin, the "Mole," and his government. 

A Minsk process for Crimea has begun. 

The absence of any serious work on securing power for Crimea for the first 1.5 years since Crimea became Russian, the blocking of any of the promised 15 billion rubles for Crimea officially earmarked this year, the resignation of Aleksey Chaly, one of the heroes of the reunion of Crimea with Russia and the immediate campaign against him by the Kremlin, Putin's downplaying of the importance of Sevastopol in his latest press conference, are all tale-telling signs of the bursting of the bubble of Putin's greatness and the political and moral bankruptcy of Russian oligarchy constructed as a colonial regime with rapidly diminishing and disappearing deniability and claims to patriotism and the contrary. 

El Murid:  

"...Первый вопрос: поддерживаете ли вы или нет заключение коммерческого контракта с Украиной на поставку части электроэнергии в Крым и Севастополь, если в нем будет указано, что Крым и Севастополь являются частью Украины..."
В принципе понятно, что именно хотел сказать всем этим президент. Ему нужно сослаться на мнение народа, дескать, он против такого указания. Хотя если это мнение уже было высказано на референдуме, а затем закреплено в конституции, то спрашивать по второму разу как-то нелепо.
Но новация интересная. Ее нужно распространить, углУбить и расширить. Провести соцопрос среди жителей Курил на предмет указания того, а не являются ли они частью Японии, у Татарстана - про принадлежность к Турции, у Петербурга - насчет того - считать ли Петербург пригородом Хельсинки или наоборот - Хельсинки объявить дачным поселком петербуржцев.
Любопытно, что проводится соцопрос - то есть, вне зависимости от его результатов юридически он вообще никакого смысла не имеет. Тогда какой смысл его проводить для того, чтобы заключить юридически обязывающий договор? Только чтобы запустить дискуссию по поводу "А не поторопились ли мы?"

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Aleksey Mozgovoy's Poem No. 41


Robbed of the clothes scattered around
And captured by the hints of flowers
Here, on the bedspread of soft grass,
Without ado reigns this love.

Under the watch and aegis of heavens,
With the bird songs and this air’s touch,
Two hearts in love lose insignificance
And let just fall its soulless mask.

The two are now glowing flames,
And passion floods them with a bliss,
Making them forget even how to count
When blood steams & teems with delight.

Neither honey nor poppies can match
Those lips now taking on color and taste,
Every nectar on which loving depends
Is being served so that they create and live.

In pleasure drunken and drenched,
The two can touch, ignite and blaze.
What life lacks and desires—in love
And fire—it both loses and finds.

На покрывале мягких трав,
В плену у запаха цветов.
Вокруг одежды разбросав,
Царит любовь, без лишних слов.

Под покровительством небес,
Под пенье птиц и ветра ласку.
В любви, соитие двух сердец,
Снимает равнодушия маску.

Разгорячённые тела,
В блаженной страсти утопают.
Любовь, двоих с ума свела,
От наслаждений кровь вскипает.

Алеют губы словно маки,
Их вкус и с мёдом не сравним.
Для жизни им, ответит всякий,
Любви нектар необходим.

Дурманит и пьянит услада,
Прикосновения жгут тела.
Что человеку в жизни надо,
В огне любви - сгореть дотла...

RT became an advertising agency for STRATFOR, "private CIA," and hails its forcasts as precise, passing in silence over STRATFOR's and Friedman's main prediction: The collapse and destruction of Russia just published a “news” piece, which advertises and promotes George Friedman’s “private CIA” STRATFOR agency as the one that offers and offered “precise predictions.” In part, the RT piece notes that, according to STRATFOR, Russia and Ukraine will reach in 2016 a “common understanding,” will reconcile and settle their conflict, supposedly to the displeasure of the US, but pleasing Germany.  To prove Friedman’s and STRATFOR’s validity and reputation, RT mentions Friedman’s 2009 book, The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century, which the article implies predicted the reunion of Crimea with Russia—specifically that “Russia will be restoring its influence and control over the former Soviet republics, recreating  a system of buffer zones, which existed in the Soviet period.” The fact is that, in this book, Crimea is mentioned only once (see below). In the book, Friedman does suggest that between 2010-2020 Russia might reabsorb Ukraine as well as Belarus. Russia’s resurgence, which was to start in 2000 is to peak around 2015. However, the article omits Friedman’s main “precise” arguments and predications according to which soon after 2020 Russia is to collapse and be divided—much thanks to its current system and US smart and cunning geopolitical strategies. If RT pretends not to know this, while still advertising and promoting Friedman, STRATFOR as a CIA private affiliation, then RT itself might be rendering itself as a sort of corporate extension of the same system. 

First, here is the RT article in the original, followed by actual excerpts from Friedman’s book which RT hailed and declared to be true and precise.

“Согласно прогнозу основателя разведовательно-аналитического агентства STRATFOR Джорджа Фридмана, в 2016 году Украина и Россия помирятся к недовольству США и их союзников, но к радости Германии … получил известность благодаря своим точным предсказаниям.    Москва и Киев придут к взаимопониманию уже в 2016 году, приводит мнение аналитика Джорджа Фридмана издание Huffington Post, которое цитирует в своей статье ИноТВ. В 2009 году, когда Россия пыталась оправиться от рецессии, мало кто смог бы предугадать, что через 5 лет страна воссоединится с Крымом. Впрочем, были и исключения. В 2009 году Джордж Фридман, занимающийся геополитическими прогнозами, опубликовал книгу «Следующие сто лет», в которой указал, что Россия будет восстанавливать своё влияние и контроль над бывшими советскими республиками, воссоздавая систему буферных зон, которая существовала в советские времена.
Тогда, в 2009 году прогноз казался недоступным пониманию, однако сейчас, утверждает автор статьи, это геополитическая реальность. Фридман довольно точно предсказал и другие события, включая экономические проблемы Китая и недавнюю сделку США и Ирана.
огласно прогнозу Фридмана, в 2016 году Россия и Украина придут к некоему — «формальному или нет» — соглашению по конфликту. Структура соглашения пока не ясна, но конфликт будет исчерпан. Американцам и их союзникам этот компромисс придётся не по душе, но Германия будет удовлетворена из-за того, что опасность конфронтации на востоке от её границ будет устранена. Остальная Европа останется безразличной к решению этого кризиса.  Оригинал новости RT на русском:

Here comes George Friedman of STRATFOR:

The one and only mention of Crimea in Friedman’s aforementioned book: “Turkey meanwhile, will move decisively northward into the Caucasus as Russia crumbles. Part of this move will consist of military intervention, and part will occur in the way of political alliances. Equally important, much of Turkey’s influence will be economic— the rest of the region will need to align itself with the new economic power. Turkish influence inevitably will spread northward, beyond the Caucasus into Russia and Ukraine, asserting itself in the politically uncertain Don and Volga river valleys, and eastward toward the agricultural heartland of Russia. Muslim Turkey will influence Muslim Kazakhstan, spreading Turkish power into Central Asia. The Black Sea will be a Turkish lake, and Crimea and Odessa will trade heavily with Turkey. There will be massive Turkish investment throughout this region. Russia will have created a system of alliances to the south of Turkey before its collapse, much as it did during the Cold War. As Russia weakens and withdraws, it will leave behind a belt of instability from the Levant to Afghanistan.”  Friedman, George (2009-01-27). The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (p. 155-6). Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group

“The causes that ignited this confrontation— and the Cold War before it— will impose the same outcome as the Cold War, this time with less effort for the United States. The last confrontation occurred in Central Europe. This one will take place much farther to the east. In the last confrontation China was an ally of Russia, at least in the beginning. In this case China will be out of the game. Last time, Russia was in complete control of the Caucasus, but now it will not be, and it will be facing American and Turkish pressure northward.” Friedman, George (2009-01-27). The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (p. 119

“The collapse of Russia in the early 2020s will leave Eurasia as a whole in chaos. The Russian Federation itself will crack open as Moscow’s grip shatters. Regions, perhaps even the thinly populated Pacific region, will break away, its interests in the Pacific Basin far outweighing its interest in or connection to Russia proper. Chechnya and the other Muslim regions will break off. Karelia, with close ties to Scandinavia, will secede. Such disintegration will not be confined to Russia. Other countries of the former Soviet Union will fragment as well. The burdens imposed by Moscow will be entirely unsustainable. Where previously the collapse of the Soviet Union led to oligarchs controlling the Russian economy, the collapse of the 2020s will lead to regional leaders going their own way. This disintegration will take place during a period of Chinese regionalism. China’s economic crisis will kick off a regional phase in Chinese history that, during the 2020s, will intensify. The Eurasian landmass east of the Carpathians will become disorganized and chaotic as regions struggle for local political and economic advantage, with uncertain borders and shifting alliances. In fact, fragmentation on both sides of the Chinese border, from Kazakhstan to the Pacific, will start to render the boundaries meaningless. From the United States’ point of view, this will represent a superb outcome. The fifth geopolitical imperative for the United States was that no power be in a position to dominate all of Eurasia. With both China and Russia in chaos, the possibility is more distant than ever. There is, in fact, little need for the United States to even involve itself in maintaining the balance of power inside the region. In the coming decades the balance of power will maintain itself. Eurasia will become a “poacher’s paradise.””  Friedman, George (2009-01-27). The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (pp. 136-137). Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group

“The Russians saw the events in Ukraine as an attempt by the United States to draw Ukraine into NATO and thereby set the stage for Russian disintegration. Quite frankly, there was some truth to the Russian perception. If the West had succeeded in dominating Ukraine, Russia would have become indefensible. The southern border with Belarus, as well as the southwestern frontier of Russia, would have been wide open. In addition, the distance between Ukraine and western Kazakhstan is only about four hundred miles, and that is the gap through which Russia has been able to project power toward the Caucasus (see map, page 71). We should assume, then, that under these circumstances Russia would have lost its ability to control the Caucasus and would have had to retreat farther north from Chechnya. The Russians would have been abandoning parts of the Russian Federation itself, and Russia’s own southern flank would become highly vulnerable. Russia would have continued to fragment until it returned to its medieval frontiers.” Friedman, George (2009-01-27). The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (pp. 70-71). Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group. 

“In the south, with Ukraine independent, the Russian hold on the Black Sea is tenuous, and it has been forced to the northern extreme of the Caucasus. Afghanistan is occupied, however tentatively, by the Americans, and Russia’s anchor on the Himalayas is gone. If there were an army interested in invading, the Russian Federation is virtually indefensible.” Friedman, George (2009-01-27). The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (pp. 103-104). Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group

“Ukraine and Belarus are everything to the Russians. If they were to fall into an enemy’s hands— for example, join NATO— Russia would be in mortal danger. Moscow is only a bit over two hundred miles from the Russian border with Belarus, Ukraine less than two hundred miles from Volgograd, formerly Stalingrad. Russia defended against Napoleon and Hitler with depth. Without Belarus and Ukraine, there is no depth, no land to trade for an enemy’s blood. It is, of course, absurd to imagine NATO posing a threat to Russia. But the Russians think in terms of twenty-year cycles, and they know how quickly the absurd becomes possible. They also know that the United States and NATO have systematically expanded their reach by extending membership in NATO to Eastern Europe and the Baltic states. As soon as the United States began trying to recruit Ukraine into NATO, the Russians changed their view both of American intentions and of Ukraine. From the Russian point of view, NATO expanding into Ukraine threatens Russian interests in the same way as if the Warsaw Pact had moved into Mexico. When a pro-Western uprising in 2004— the Orange Revolution— seemed about to sweep Ukraine into NATO, the Russians accused the United States of trying to surround and destroy Russia. What the Americans were thinking is open to debate. That Ukraine in NATO would be potentially devastating to Russian national security is not.” Friedman, George (2009-01-27). The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (p. 112). Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group