Saturday, December 13, 2014

Ukraine's Military Command Closed 3 Strategically Placed Civilian Airports--to Any Civilian Traffic

On the closing of the civilian airports in Kharkov, Dniepropetrovsk, and Zaporozhye, which was announced yesterday--explicitly "on the request of military authorities."

В аэропорту Запорожья приземлились четыре транспортных самолета НАТО, идет разгрузка

Новости Украины, АТО, Запорожье, НАТО, свежие новости

1. It is US practice to have logistical and military hubs based at airports. The move comes immediately after US Senate made arming the Kiev junta legal and official.
2. The Mariupol airport was already closed before and has been functioning as a military base for a while.
3. The move indicates a significant increase of logistical preparations for war, a war evidently bigger and longer than seen so far.
4. Perhaps, most importantly, the most logical and simplest explanation of the change in the status of three airports is that the US and NATO might be setting their military bases there--at first under the cover of deniability or some creative and ambiguous term.
5. The airports can also be used not only for moving weapons, as is clearly the case, but also for faster movement and redeployment of troops, which might be primarily Ukrainian troops. For the way in which the war has been pursued gave the junta plenty of time for preparations, mobilizations (3 waves for now), training. This means that a whole "reserve" force could have been readied, trained, and might be now available for arriving to the battlefield as a sort of surprise for Christmas or the New Year Eve.
6. If I were in the other man's shoes delivering a payback for the Tet Offensive in kind (January of 1968) would be very much on my mind.
7. The fact that Saker predicts some offensive for the Spring is yet another (though ancillary) sign that the Kiev regime as advised might be now preoccupied with planning some surprise or would-be game changer. And possibly much earlier than in the Spring.
8. The insistence that the Donetsk and Lugansk Republics withdraw their heavy weapons (while Kiev is not doing any of that) makes perfect sense if you can ask the enemy to fulfill your wish much facilitating attack and he is glad to oblige.
9. The terms of the Minsk Agreements and the current ceasefire also mean that should Kiev decide to concentrate and pre-deploy troops for surprise attack, they would be safe (and no pre-emptive strike like that one that happened on the eve of the Kursk battle would be coming)--because of the "ceasefire," which gives Kiev a free hand and security of movement and maneuver.

The current arrangement just makes these things more likely. Donetsk is still very much exposed and the Debaltzevo pocket continues to be a festering tumor wedged quite deep into the two republics.

Kiev also needs coals. And that's yet another incentive of trying to go and just get it.

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