Friday, September 19, 2014

What the Minsk Ceasefire Means to Dmitry Tymchyuk

Junta's top social media warrior, Dmitry Tymchyuk shared his view on the ceasefire and the junta's need to legislate some special status for "regions" in Donetsk and Lugansk:

"We are retreating, the army is demoralized because of social networks. If we had 100,000 trained and equipped troops, there would be no cease-fire."
"The army is demoralized, we are retreating, and we no longer have the resources to continue the war," - said at a press conference in Kiev the chief promoter of the ATO and now coordinator of the military council of the party "National Front" and a supporter of initiatives of Poroshenko on adoption of laws on the special status of Donbass, Dmitry Tymchyuk.
"Let's look at the map from mid-August and to the present day, there is a difference: we are retreating. We do not have the resources to continue the war - it's a fact. We have a demoralized army, by the way, thanks to the same social networks, the same panic, the same stories about corrupt generals, about traitors. It is also a powerful factor that played into the demoralization of the army," - said Tymchyuk, cited by "UkrInform".
According to Tymchuck, all willing to fight are already in the volunteer battalions, and to carry out another wave of partial mobilization - woud be an unpopular and inefficient step.
"Yes, we can now scramble hundreds of thousands of people, but it will be cannon fodder. We at least need some period of time to train, and secondly to equip and arm. Only then it makes sense to talk about further offensive steps," - he said.
According to the Ukrainian "military expert", it is necessary to mobilize about 100 thousand people, trained. To do this, he recommended that parties like "Batkivshchyna" should help.
"I wonder if "Batkivshina" could tell us how can we get prepared for the operation. According to our estimates, the day-before-yesterday we needed about 80-100 thousand people for the operation, but they should be trained, rather than cannon fodder. If "Batkivshyna" can tell where can we get 100 thousand people, weapons, and not just small arms, machine guns, and heavy weaponry - that's when we would answer: "Yes! We were wrong, the special status law is not needed, we will fight on!" But, unfortunately, they only criticize," - said Tymchuk, commenting on the remarks made earlier by some critics of the special status law of Donbass.
Dmitry Tymchyuk is a top junta Facebook blogger, who is often cited in Ukrainian media for his insider info from the front. It's been rumored, that he got an $80,000 grant from American embassy in Kiev for that position.

(Translation by Kristina Ruslan Rus)


Tymchyuk confirms that the junta's army was badly beaten, it needs to regroup, hence Kiev's junta needed very badly the ceasefire.  The law on special regions is part of the deal--in the place of the crushing victory over Novorossiya, which the junta much desired. But this does not mean that the ceasefire and the special law adopted by Kiev is the junta's defeat. It is a forced measure of sorts, but, like the ceasefire, a measure allowing the junta a new chance.

Tymchyuk does nowhere say that the ceasefire and the Minsk Protocol is a defeat of the junta. He does not like the ceasefire, the talks, and giving any status, any special status to the people in Donbass whom the junta (if we remember what Yatsenyuk said) sees as "subhumans." But he sees this Minsk arrangement as necessary with a view of the military defeats which the junta suffered and from which the junta hopes to recover--much by means of the ceasefire and the Minsk process.

Thus, as Tymchyuk tells, the ceasefire saved the junta from an even greater defeat and, under these conditions, he supports the law on special regions: "[Tymchyuk] is a supporter of initiatives of Poroshenko on adoption of laws on the special status of Donbass ... We have a demoralized army  ... We at least need some period of time to train, and secondly to equip and arm. ... If Batkivshyna" can tell where can we get 100 thousand people, weapons, and not just small arms, machine guns, and heavy weaponry - that's when we would answer: 'Yes! We were wrong, the special status law is not needed, we will fight on!'"


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