Few theses on the current state of the battle for Syria:
1. As I
predicted several months ago (a well tried device used several times in
Bosnia was applied again to Syria), the US imposed "ceasefire" supported
by Russia (as of February 26) played a key role in ensuring the
necessary preparations for the long planned Nusra-led offensive.
Moreover, the US-Russian ostensible "peace plan" did set the deadline
for the plan on August 1, which, as it turned out, was the beginning of
the takfiri offensive on Aleppo. Without this "ceasefire," it would have
been either much harder or even impossible to secure the preparation of
the said offensive. In a word, such "ceasefires" are meant (as was the
case in the past) to stop successful offensives against US proxies and
to set the best possible conditions for the ceasefires' ensuing
"violations" in the form of "sudden" offensives by the retrained and
re-equipped US proxies. The ruse is rather simple, but it keeps working.
2. The odd and adventurous "march on Raqqa" was one of the key
prerequisites for increasing the success of the long planned offensive
of the Nusra-led current offensive on Aleppo.
3. Putin's withdrawal
of most of the Russian Air Force group in Syria also ensured that Syria
and Russia had a much smaller Air Force available in the theater of
operations during this offensive.
4. It is possible that the well
beforehand announced deployment of Russia's sole aircraft carrier off
Syria in September was meant to take place "after the fact" so to
speak--to serve a potential Russian evacuation from Syria.