Few theses on the current state of the battle for Syria:
1. As I 
predicted several months ago (a well tried device used several times in 
Bosnia was applied again to Syria), the US imposed "ceasefire" supported
 by Russia (as of February 26) played a key role in ensuring the 
necessary preparations for the long planned Nusra-led offensive. 
Moreover, the US-Russian ostensible "peace plan" did set the deadline 
for the plan on August 1, which, as it turned out, was the beginning of 
the takfiri offensive on Aleppo. Without this "ceasefire," it would have
 been either much harder or even impossible to secure the preparation of
 the said offensive. In a word, such "ceasefires" are meant (as was the 
case in the past) to stop successful offensives against US proxies and 
to set the best possible conditions for the ceasefires' ensuing 
"violations" in the form of "sudden" offensives by the retrained and 
re-equipped US proxies. The ruse is rather simple, but it keeps working.
2. The odd and adventurous "march on Raqqa" was one of the key 
prerequisites for increasing the success of the long planned offensive 
of the Nusra-led current offensive on Aleppo.
3. Putin's withdrawal 
of most of the Russian Air Force group in Syria also ensured that Syria 
and Russia had a much smaller Air Force available in the theater of 
operations during this offensive.
4. It is possible that the well 
beforehand announced deployment of Russia's sole aircraft carrier off 
Syria in September was meant to take place "after the fact" so to 
speak--to serve a potential Russian evacuation from Syria.
 
No comments:
Post a Comment